First of all, we've recently received a lot of information on Emilie, including some of her kit, weapon stats, and other details. I think it's safe to say that she will most likely release in 4.8, probably in the first half, since most of the new characters come out in the first phase.
I see a lot of people who don't even know who Emilie is. Emilie is a perfume creator from Fontaine, mentioned in the lines of several characters: Charlotte, Chevreuse, Chiori, Lynette, Lyney and Wriothesley. She is the last Fontaine character we know of and she will most likely be released in 4.8.
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The second character that could be in the first phase is Navia or Wriothesley. Both were released in Fontaine, and each character released in a certain region must have a rerun before a new region is introduced. We had a similar pattern with the Sumeru region when Cyno was released in 3.1 and re-ran in 3.5, or Wanderer which was released in 3.5 then re-ran in 3.8. This model is valid for all other Sumeru characters.
From here we can say that Navia and Wriothesley should be re-run in 4.8, but determining which phase each will be in is a bit complicated. Personally, I think Riothesley will be in the second phase while Navia will be in the first. Let me explain why.
If we look at the 5-star waitlist, we can clearly see that Shenhe has gone through 11 patches since its last banner. Therefore, pairing Wriothesley and Shenhe in the same phase makes sense, as both are Cryo characters.
So, Emilie and Navia in the first phase and Shenhe and Wriothesley in the second would be the most reasonable composition for 4.8.
However, as Mihoyo is known for its unpredictability, it's possible that just one of Navia or Wriothesley will be re-run in 4.8, and instead we might see someone like Xianyun. Also, instead of Shenhe, the developers could put Nilou, since she also has 10 patches since her last rerun. Besides that, it is rumored that Nilou will appear in the summer event of version 4.8 and we will get new skins for Nilou, Wanderer and Kirara.
But still, I think Emilie and Navia will be in the first phase and Wriothesley and Shenhe in the second. Like I said, instead of Shenhe we could see Nilou, but Wriothesley and Shenhe still seem more suitable.
What about Chronicled Wish? I think we'll get it in patch 4.8, since it's the last patch before Natlan.
The most likely candidates are Liyue characters like Hu Tao, Yelan, and Ganyu. For standard characters, this could be Qiqi, Keqing and maybe Tighnari or Dehya. The developers could also include four limited and two standard characters, perhaps even Zhongli.
We need another chronicle wish to understand what characters could be included and if it's a regional banner or if Archons can be included.
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